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- The sheet in 3 sheets to the wind crosswords
- What is three sheets to the wind
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Jute Tote Bag With Canvas Pocket Reference
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The last time an abrupt cooling occurred was in the midst of global warming. Futurists have learned to bracket the future with alternative scenarios, each of which captures important features that cluster together, each of which is compact enough to be seen as a narrative on a human scale. Ancient lakes near the Pacific coast of the United States, it turned out, show a shift to cold-weather plant species at roughly the time when the Younger Dryas was changing German pine forests into scrublands like those of modern Siberia. Large-scale flushing at both those sites is certainly a highly variable process, and perhaps a somewhat fragile one as well. Although the sun's energy output does flicker slightly, the likeliest reason for these abrupt flips is an intermittent problem in the North Atlantic Ocean, one that seems to trigger a major rearrangement of atmospheric circulation. The sheet in 3 sheets to the wind crosswords. When the ice cores demonstrated the abrupt onset of the Younger Dryas, researchers wanted to know how widespread this event was. More rain falling in the northern oceans—exactly what is predicted as a result of global warming—could stop salt flushing. Volcanos spew sulfates, as do our own smokestacks, and these reflect some sunlight back into space, particularly over the North Atlantic and Europe.
The Sheet In 3 Sheets To The Wind Crosswords
In 1970 it arrived in the Labrador Sea, where it prevented the usual salt sinking. In Broecker's view, failures of salt flushing cause a worldwide rearrangement of ocean currents, resulting in—and this is the speculative part—less evaporation from the tropics. The sheet in 3 sheets to the wind crossword puzzle. Whole sections of a glacier, lifted up by the tides, may snap off at the "hinge" and become icebergs. In the first few years the climate could cool as much as it did during the misnamed Little Ice Age (a gradual cooling that lasted from the early Renaissance until the end of the nineteenth century), with tenfold greater changes over the next decade or two. This produces a heat bonus of perhaps 30 percent beyond the heat provided by direct sunlight to these seas, accounting for the mild winters downwind, in northern Europe.
Paleoclimatic records reveal that any notion we may once have had that the climate will remain the same unless pollution changes it is wishful thinking. What is three sheets to the wind. The Atlantic would be even saltier if it didn't mix with the Pacific, in long, loopy currents. We now know that there's nothing "glacially slow" about temperature change: superimposed on the gradual, long-term cycle have been dozens of abrupt warmings and coolings that lasted only centuries. But the regional record is poorly understood, and I know at least one reason why.
One of the most shocking scientific realizations of all time has slowly been dawning on us: the earth's climate does great flip-flops every few thousand years, and with breathtaking speed. Eventually such ice dams break, with spectacular results. This cold period, known as the Younger Dryas, is named for the pollen of a tundra flower that turned up in a lake bed in Denmark when it shouldn't have. Greenland looks like that, even on a cloudless day—but the great white mass between the occasional punctuations is an ice sheet. Many ice sheets had already half melted, dumping a lot of fresh water into the ocean. They even show the flips. Temperature records suggest that there is some grand mechanism underlying all of this, and that it has two major states.
Indeed, we've had an unprecedented period of climate stability. The only reason that two percent of our population can feed the other 98 percent is that we have a well-developed system of transportation and middlemen—but it is not very robust. There is another part of the world with the same good soil, within the same latitudinal band, which we can use for a quick comparison. Abortive responses and rapid chattering between modes are common problems in nonlinear systems with not quite enough oomph—the reason that old fluorescent lights flicker. But the ice ages aren't what they used to be. Broecker has written, "If you wanted to cool the planet by 5°C [9°F] and could magically alter the water-vapor content of the atmosphere, a 30 percent decrease would do the job. That's how our warm period might end too. The Mediterranean waters flowing out of the bottom of the Strait of Gibraltar into the Atlantic Ocean are about 10 percent saltier than the ocean's average, and so they sink into the depths of the Atlantic. Civilizations accumulate knowledge, so we now know a lot about what has been going on, what has made us what we are. History is full of withdrawals from knowledge-seeking, whether for reasons of fundamentalism, fatalism, or "government lite" economics. That increased quantities of greenhouse gases will lead to global warming is as solid a scientific prediction as can be found, but other things influence climate too, and some people try to escape confronting the consequences of our pumping more and more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere by supposing that something will come along miraculously to counteract them. The system allows for large urban populations in the best of times, but not in the case of widespread disruptions. The back and forth of the ice started 2. There is also a great deal of unsalted water in Greenland's glaciers, just uphill from the major salt sinks.
What Is Three Sheets To The Wind
Tropical swamps decrease their production of methane at the same time that Europe cools, and the Gobi Desert whips much more dust into the air. The last warm period abruptly terminated 13, 000 years after the abrupt warming that initiated it, and we've already gone 15, 000 years from a similar starting point. The fjords of Greenland offer some dramatic examples of the possibilities for freshwater floods. Salt circulates, because evaporation up north causes it to sink and be carried south by deep currents.
Then, about 11, 400 years ago, things suddenly warmed up again, and the earliest agricultural villages were established in the Middle East. By 1971-1972 the semi-salty blob was off Newfoundland. Counting those tree-ring-like layers in the ice cores shows that cooling came on as quickly as droughts. Because such a cooling would occur too quickly for us to make readjustments in agricultural productivity and supply, it would be a potentially civilization-shattering affair, likely to cause an unprecedented population crash. The cold, dry winds blowing eastward off Canada evaporate the surface waters of the North Atlantic Current, and leave behind all their salt. To the long list of predicted consequences of global warming—stronger storms, methane release, habitat changes, ice-sheet melting, rising seas, stronger El Niños, killer heat waves—we must now add an abrupt, catastrophic cooling. But we can't assume that anything like this will counteract our longer-term flurry of carbon-dioxide emissions. We can design for that in computer models of climate, just as architects design earthquake-resistant skyscrapers.
That might result in less evaporation, creating lower-than-normal levels of greenhouse gases and thus a global cooling. A cheap-fix scenario, such as building or bombing a dam, presumes that we know enough to prevent trouble, or to nip a developing problem in the bud. Glaciers pushing out into the ocean usually break off in chunks. Canada lacks Europe's winter warmth and rainfall, because it has no equivalent of the North Atlantic Current to preheat its eastbound weather systems. This salty waterfall is more like thirty Amazon Rivers combined. They were formerly thought to be very gradual, with both air temperature and ice sheets changing in a slow, 100, 000-year cycle tied to changes in the earth's orbit around the sun. N. London and Paris are close to the 49°N line that, west of the Great Lakes, separates the United States from Canada.
We need more well-trained people, bigger computers, more coring of the ocean floor and silted-up lakes, more ships to drag instrument packages through the depths, more instrumented buoys to study critical sites in detail, more satellites measuring regional variations in the sea surface, and perhaps some small-scale trial runs of interventions. Ours is now a brain able to anticipate outcomes well enough to practice ethical behavior, able to head off disasters in the making by extrapolating trends. But just as vaccines and antibiotics presume much knowledge about diseases, their climatic equivalents presume much knowledge about oceans, atmospheres, and past climates. Unlike most ocean currents, the North Atlantic Current has a return loop that runs deep beneath the ocean surface. Out of the sea of undulating white clouds mountain peaks stick up like islands.
The Sheet In 3 Sheets To The Wind Crossword Puzzle
Up to this point in the story none of the broad conclusions is particularly speculative. Such a conveyor is needed because the Atlantic is saltier than the Pacific (the Pacific has twice as much water with which to dilute the salt carried in from rivers). Rather than a vigorous program of studying regional climatic change, we see the shortsighted preaching of cheaper government at any cost. The dam, known as the Isthmus of Panama, may have been what caused the ice ages to begin a short time later, simply because of the forced detour. Within the ice sheets of Greenland are annual layers that provide a record of the gases present in the atmosphere and indicate the changes in air temperature over the past 250, 000 years—the period of the last two major ice ages.
Ways to postpone such a climatic shift are conceivable, however—old-fashioned dam-and-ditch construction in critical locations might even work. In an abrupt cooling the problem would get worse for decades, and much of the earth would be affected. Any meltwater coming in behind the dam stayed there. Five months after the ice dam at the Russell fjord formed, it broke, dumping a cubic mile of fresh water in only twenty-four hours. Things had been warming up, and half the ice sheets covering Europe and Canada had already melted. But sometimes a glacial surge will act like an avalanche that blocks a road, as happened when Alaska's Hubbard glacier surged into the Russell fjord in May of 1986. Surface waters are flushed regularly, even in lakes. Oceans are not well mixed at any time. But our current warm-up, which started about 15, 000 years ago, began abruptly, with the temperature rising sharply while most of the ice was still present. Obviously, local failures can occur without catastrophe—it's a question of how often and how widespread the failures are—but the present state of decline is not very reassuring. Another sat on Hudson's Bay, and reached as far west as the foothills of the Rocky Mountains—where it pushed, head to head, against ice coming down from the Rockies.
The modern world is full of objects and systems that exhibit "bistable" modes, with thresholds for flipping. They might not be the end of Homo sapiens—written knowledge and elementary education might well endure—but the world after such a population crash would certainly be full of despotic governments that hated their neighbors because of recent atrocities. Recovery would be very slow. Feedbacks are what determine thresholds, where one mode flips into another. Further investigation might lead to revisions in such mechanistic explanations, but the result of adding fresh water to the ocean surface is pretty standard physics.
Sometimes they sink to considerable depths without mixing. Seawater is more complicated, because salt content also helps to determine whether water floats or sinks. It's also clear that sufficient global warming could trigger an abrupt cooling in at least two ways—by increasing high-latitude rainfall or by melting Greenland's ice, both of which could put enough fresh water into the ocean surface to suppress flushing. Only the most naive gamblers bet against physics, and only the most irresponsible bet with their grandchildren's resources. It was initially hoped that the abrupt warmings and coolings were just an oddity of Greenland's weather—but they have now been detected on a worldwide scale, and at about the same time. These northern ice sheets were as high as Greenland's mountains, obstacles sufficient to force the jet stream to make a detour. Once the dam is breached, the rushing waters erode an ever wider and deeper path. In Greenland a given year's snowfall is compacted into ice during the ensuing years, trapping air bubbles, and so paleoclimate researchers have been able to glimpse ancient climates in some detail. Natural disasters such as hurricanes and earthquakes are less troubling than abrupt coolings for two reasons: they're short (the recovery period starts the next day) and they're local or regional (unaffected citizens can help the overwhelmed). In the Greenland Sea over the 1980s salt sinking declined by 80 percent. Indeed, were another climate flip to begin next year, we'd probably complain first about the drought, along with unusually cold winters in Europe. Increasing amounts of sea ice and clouds could reflect more sunlight back into space, but the geochemist Wallace Broecker suggests that a major greenhouse gas is disturbed by the failure of the salt conveyor, and that this affects the amount of heat retained.