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The Sheet In 3 Sheets To The Wind Crossword - Amc Princess Ana And Nana Net Worth

In the Greenland Sea over the 1980s salt sinking declined by 80 percent. For Europe to be as agriculturally productive as it is (it supports more than twice the population of the United States and Canada), all those cold, dry winds that blow eastward across the North Atlantic from Canada must somehow be warmed up. Because such a cooling would occur too quickly for us to make readjustments in agricultural productivity and supply, it would be a potentially civilization-shattering affair, likely to cause an unprecedented population crash. Although we can't do much about everyday weather, we may nonetheless be able to stabilize the climate enough to prevent an abrupt cooling. The sheet in 3 sheets to the wind crossword puzzles. Europe's climate could become more like Siberia's. We need to make sure that no business-as-usual climate variation, such as an El Niño or the North Atlantic Oscillation, can push our climate onto the slippery slope and into an abrupt cooling. A muddle-through scenario assumes that we would mobilize our scientific and technological resources well in advance of any abrupt cooling problem, but that the solution wouldn't be simple.

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That, in turn, makes the air drier. We can design for that in computer models of climate, just as architects design earthquake-resistant skyscrapers. A meteor strike that killed most of the population in a month would not be as serious as an abrupt cooling that eventually killed just as many. That might result in less evaporation, creating lower-than-normal levels of greenhouse gases and thus a global cooling. North-south ocean currents help to redistribute equatorial heat into the temperate zones, supplementing the heat transfer by winds. In discussing the ice ages there is a tendency to think of warm as good—and therefore of warming as better. In late winter the heavy surface waters sink en masse. Surprisingly, it may prove possible to prevent flip-flops in the climate—even by means of low-tech schemes. Further investigation might lead to revisions in such mechanistic explanations, but the result of adding fresh water to the ocean surface is pretty standard physics. Ways to postpone such a climatic shift are conceivable, however—old-fashioned dam-and-ditch construction in critical locations might even work. In the first few years the climate could cool as much as it did during the misnamed Little Ice Age (a gradual cooling that lasted from the early Renaissance until the end of the nineteenth century), with tenfold greater changes over the next decade or two. An abrupt cooling could happen now, and the world might not warm up again for a long time: it looks as if the last warm period, having lasted 13, 000 years, came to an end with an abrupt, prolonged cooling. The sheet in 3 sheets to the wind crosswords eclipsecrossword. The effects of an abrupt cold last for centuries. They even show the flips.

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Temperature records suggest that there is some grand mechanism underlying all of this, and that it has two major states. By 1987 the geochemist Wallace Broecker, of Columbia University, was piecing together the paleoclimatic flip-flops with the salt-circulation story and warning that small nudges to our climate might produce "unpleasant surprises in the greenhouse. Term 3 sheets to the wind. Paleoclimatic records reveal that any notion we may once have had that the climate will remain the same unless pollution changes it is wishful thinking. Whereas the familiar consequences of global warming will force expensive but gradual adjustments, the abrupt cooling promoted by man-made warming looks like a particularly efficient means of committing mass suicide.

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Retained heat eventually melts the ice, in a cycle that recurs about every five years. Implementing it might cost no more, in relative terms, than building a medieval cathedral. Water is densest at about 39°F (a typical refrigerator setting—anything that you take out of the refrigerator, whether you place it on the kitchen counter or move it to the freezer, is going to expand a little). Like a half-beaten cake mix, with strands of egg still visible, the ocean has a lot of blobs and streams within it. Water falling as snow on Greenland carries an isotopic "fingerprint" of what the temperature was like en route. Even the tropics cool down by about nine degrees during an abrupt cooling, and it is hard to imagine what in the past could have disturbed the whole earth's climate on this scale. Pollen cores are still a primary means of seeing what regional climates were doing, even though they suffer from poorer resolution than ice cores (worms churn the sediment, obscuring records of all but the longest-lasting temperature changes). A slightly exaggerated version of our present know-something-do-nothing state of affairs is know-nothing-do-nothing: a reduction in science as usual, further limiting our chances of discovering a way out. They were formerly thought to be very gradual, with both air temperature and ice sheets changing in a slow, 100, 000-year cycle tied to changes in the earth's orbit around the sun.

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Then, about 11, 400 years ago, things suddenly warmed up again, and the earliest agricultural villages were established in the Middle East. This cold period, known as the Younger Dryas, is named for the pollen of a tundra flower that turned up in a lake bed in Denmark when it shouldn't have. With the population crash spread out over a decade, there would be ample opportunity for civilization's institutions to be torn apart and for hatreds to build, as armies tried to grab remaining resources simply to feed the people in their own countries. To stabilize our flip-flopping climate we'll need to identify all the important feedbacks that control climate and ocean currents—evaporation, the reflection of sunlight back into space, and so on—and then estimate their relative strengths and interactions in computer models. Then it was hoped that the abrupt flips were somehow caused by continental ice sheets, and thus would be unlikely to recur, because we now lack huge ice sheets over Canada and Northern Europe. Near a threshold one can sometimes observe abortive responses, rather like the act of stepping back onto a curb several times before finally running across a busy street. It has excellent soils, and largely grows its own food. Now only Greenland's ice remains, but the abrupt cooling in the last warm period shows that a flip can occur in situations much like the present one. It would be especially nice to see another dozen major groups of scientists doing climate simulations, discovering the intervention mistakes as quickly as possible and learning from them. Although the sun's energy output does flicker slightly, the likeliest reason for these abrupt flips is an intermittent problem in the North Atlantic Ocean, one that seems to trigger a major rearrangement of atmospheric circulation. Instead we would try one thing after another, creating a patchwork of solutions that might hold for another few decades, allowing the search for a better stabilizing mechanism to continue. Civilizations accumulate knowledge, so we now know a lot about what has been going on, what has made us what we are.

Judging from the duration of the last warm period, we are probably near the end of the current one. In almost four decades of subsequent research Henry Stommel's theory has only been enhanced, not seriously challenged. A cheap-fix scenario, such as building or bombing a dam, presumes that we know enough to prevent trouble, or to nip a developing problem in the bud. Abortive responses and rapid chattering between modes are common problems in nonlinear systems with not quite enough oomph—the reason that old fluorescent lights flicker. Unlike most ocean currents, the North Atlantic Current has a return loop that runs deep beneath the ocean surface. Berlin is up at about 52°, Copenhagen and Moscow at about 56°. Yet another precursor, as Henry Stommel suggested in 1961, would be the addition of fresh water to the ocean surface, diluting the salt-heavy surface waters before they became unstable enough to start sinking. Though combating global warming is obviously on the agenda for preventing a cold flip, we could easily be blindsided by stability problems if we allow global warming per se to remain the main focus of our climate-change efforts. Fortunately, big parallel computers have proved useful for both global climate modeling and detailed modeling of ocean circulation. The same thing happens in the Labrador Sea between Canada and the southern tip of Greenland. Counting those tree-ring-like layers in the ice cores shows that cooling came on as quickly as droughts. Perhaps computer simulations will tell us that the only robust solutions are those that re-create the ocean currents of three million years ago, before the Isthmus of Panama closed off the express route for excess-salt disposal. The Great Salinity Anomaly, a pool of semi-salty water derived from about 500 times as much unsalted water as that released by Russell Lake, was tracked from 1968 to 1982 as it moved south from Greenland's east coast.

It was initially hoped that the abrupt warmings and coolings were just an oddity of Greenland's weather—but they have now been detected on a worldwide scale, and at about the same time. Indeed, were another climate flip to begin next year, we'd probably complain first about the drought, along with unusually cold winters in Europe. That's because water density changes with temperature. For example, I can imagine that ocean currents carrying more warm surface waters north or south from the equatorial regions might, in consequence, cool the Equator somewhat. But just as vaccines and antibiotics presume much knowledge about diseases, their climatic equivalents presume much knowledge about oceans, atmospheres, and past climates. In the Labrador Sea, flushing failed during the 1970s, was strong again by 1990, and is now declining. When that annual flushing fails for some years, the conveyor belt stops moving and so heat stops flowing so far north—and apparently we're popped back into the low state. For a quarter century global-warming theorists have predicted that climate creep is going to occur and that we need to prevent greenhouse gases from warming things up, thereby raising the sea level, destroying habitats, intensifying storms, and forcing agricultural rearrangements. Its snout ran into the opposite side, blocking the fjord with an ice dam. Twenty thousand years ago a similar ice sheet lay atop the Baltic Sea and the land surrounding it. Its effects are clearly global too, inasmuch as it is part of a long "salt conveyor" current that extends through the southern oceans into the Pacific. Natural disasters such as hurricanes and earthquakes are less troubling than abrupt coolings for two reasons: they're short (the recovery period starts the next day) and they're local or regional (unaffected citizens can help the overwhelmed).

Greenland looks like that, even on a cloudless day—but the great white mass between the occasional punctuations is an ice sheet. Plummeting crop yields would cause some powerful countries to try to take over their neighbors or distant lands—if only because their armies, unpaid and lacking food, would go marauding, both at home and across the borders.

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