The Sheet In 3 Sheets To The Wind Crossword | Hybrid Car Repair Shop Santa Rosa
But the regional record is poorly understood, and I know at least one reason why. Water that evaporates leaves its salt behind; the resulting saltier water is heavier and thus sinks. The sheet in 3 sheets to the wind crossword answer. A slightly exaggerated version of our present know-something-do-nothing state of affairs is know-nothing-do-nothing: a reduction in science as usual, further limiting our chances of discovering a way out. A cheap-fix scenario, such as building or bombing a dam, presumes that we know enough to prevent trouble, or to nip a developing problem in the bud.
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It's happening right now:a North Atlantic Oscillation started in 1996. In 1984, when I first heard about the startling news from the ice cores, the implications were unclear—there seemed to be other ways of interpreting the data from Greenland. Instead we would try one thing after another, creating a patchwork of solutions that might hold for another few decades, allowing the search for a better stabilizing mechanism to continue. To stabilize our flip-flopping climate we'll need to identify all the important feedbacks that control climate and ocean currents—evaporation, the reflection of sunlight back into space, and so on—and then estimate their relative strengths and interactions in computer models. Fortunately, big parallel computers have proved useful for both global climate modeling and detailed modeling of ocean circulation. By 1961 the oceanographer Henry Stommel, of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, in Massachusetts, was beginning to worry that these warming currents might stop flowing if too much fresh water was added to the surface of the northern seas. Define 3 sheets to the wind. Our goal must be to stabilize the climate in its favorable mode and ensure that enough equatorial heat continues to flow into the waters around Greenland and Norway. To see how ocean circulation might affect greenhouse gases, we must try to account quantitatively for important nonlinearities, ones in which little nudges provoke great responses. We puzzle over oddities, such as the climate of Europe. We need heat in the right places, such as the Greenland Sea, and not in others right next door, such as Greenland itself. That's how our warm period might end too. Sometimes they sink to considerable depths without mixing.
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Keeping the present climate from falling back into the low state will in any case be a lot easier than trying to reverse such a change after it has occurred. To keep a bistable system firmly in one state or the other, it should be kept away from the transition threshold. Perhaps computer simulations will tell us that the only robust solutions are those that re-create the ocean currents of three million years ago, before the Isthmus of Panama closed off the express route for excess-salt disposal. Because such a cooling would occur too quickly for us to make readjustments in agricultural productivity and supply, it would be a potentially civilization-shattering affair, likely to cause an unprecedented population crash. Like a half-beaten cake mix, with strands of egg still visible, the ocean has a lot of blobs and streams within it. So freshwater blobs drift, sometimes causing major trouble, and Greenland floods thus have the potential to stop the enormous heat transfer that keeps the North Atlantic Current going strong. To the long list of predicted consequences of global warming—stronger storms, methane release, habitat changes, ice-sheet melting, rising seas, stronger El Niños, killer heat waves—we must now add an abrupt, catastrophic cooling. This tends to stagger the imagination, immediately conjuring up visions of terraforming on a science-fiction scale—and so we shake our heads and say, "Better to fight global warming by consuming less, " and so forth. Meaning of three sheets to the wind. We could go back to ice-age temperatures within a decade—and judging from recent discoveries, an abrupt cooling could be triggered by our current global-warming trend. Because water vapor is the most powerful greenhouse gas, this decrease in average humidity would cool things globally. A brief, large flood of fresh water might nudge us toward an abrupt cooling even if the dilution were insignificant when averaged over time. They were formerly thought to be very gradual, with both air temperature and ice sheets changing in a slow, 100, 000-year cycle tied to changes in the earth's orbit around the sun. The system allows for large urban populations in the best of times, but not in the case of widespread disruptions.
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The return to ice-age temperatures lasted 1, 300 years. Near a threshold one can sometimes observe abortive responses, rather like the act of stepping back onto a curb several times before finally running across a busy street. This was posited in 1797 by the Anglo-American physicist Sir Benjamin Thompson (later known, after he moved to Bavaria, as Count Rumford of the Holy Roman Empire), who also posited that, if merely to compensate, there would have to be a warmer northbound current as well. We are in a warm period now. Like bus routes or conveyor belts, ocean currents must have a return loop. An abrupt cooling got started 8, 200 years ago, but it aborted within a century, and the temperature changes since then have been gradual in comparison.
The Sheet In 3 Sheets To The Wind Crosswords
Tropical swamps decrease their production of methane at the same time that Europe cools, and the Gobi Desert whips much more dust into the air. In discussing the ice ages there is a tendency to think of warm as good—and therefore of warming as better. But to address how all these nonlinear mechanisms fit together—and what we might do to stabilize the climate—will require some speculation. It could no longer do so if it lost the extra warming from the North Atlantic. The last warm period abruptly terminated 13, 000 years after the abrupt warming that initiated it, and we've already gone 15, 000 years from a similar starting point. But just as vaccines and antibiotics presume much knowledge about diseases, their climatic equivalents presume much knowledge about oceans, atmospheres, and past climates. Timing could be everything, given the delayed effects from inch-per-second circulation patterns, but that, too, potentially has a low-tech solution: build dams across the major fjord systems and hold back the meltwater at critical times. There is, increasingly, international cooperation in response to catastrophe—but no country is going to be able to rely on a stored agricultural surplus for even a year, and any country will be reluctant to give away part of its surplus. Paleoclimatic records reveal that any notion we may once have had that the climate will remain the same unless pollution changes it is wishful thinking.
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Any abrupt switch in climate would also disrupt food-supply routes. The job is done by warm water flowing north from the tropics, as the eastbound Gulf Stream merges into the North Atlantic Current. We must be careful not to think of an abrupt cooling in response to global warming as just another self-regulatory device, a control system for cooling things down when it gets too hot. We now know that there's nothing "glacially slow" about temperature change: superimposed on the gradual, long-term cycle have been dozens of abrupt warmings and coolings that lasted only centuries. For Europe to be as agriculturally productive as it is (it supports more than twice the population of the United States and Canada), all those cold, dry winds that blow eastward across the North Atlantic from Canada must somehow be warmed up. We have to discover what has made the climate of the past 8, 000 years relatively stable, and then figure out how to prop it up. Present-day Europe has more than 650 million people. It has excellent soils, and largely grows its own food. It has been called the Nordic Seas heat pump. In an abrupt cooling the problem would get worse for decades, and much of the earth would be affected. This El Niño-like shift in the atmospheric-circulation pattern over the North Atlantic, from the Azores to Greenland, often lasts a decade.
Berlin is up at about 52°, Copenhagen and Moscow at about 56°. When the warm currents penetrate farther than usual into the northern seas, they help to melt the sea ice that is reflecting a lot of sunlight back into space, and so the earth becomes warmer. Another sat on Hudson's Bay, and reached as far west as the foothills of the Rocky Mountains—where it pushed, head to head, against ice coming down from the Rockies. Further investigation might lead to revisions in such mechanistic explanations, but the result of adding fresh water to the ocean surface is pretty standard physics. All we would need to do is open a channel through the ice dam with explosives before dangerous levels of water built up.
Volcanos spew sulfates, as do our own smokestacks, and these reflect some sunlight back into space, particularly over the North Atlantic and Europe. It keeps northern Europe about nine to eighteen degrees warmer in the winter than comparable latitudes elsewhere—except when it fails. So could ice carried south out of the Arctic Ocean. Greenland looks like that, even on a cloudless day—but the great white mass between the occasional punctuations is an ice sheet. An abrupt cooling could happen now, and the world might not warm up again for a long time: it looks as if the last warm period, having lasted 13, 000 years, came to an end with an abrupt, prolonged cooling. Pollen cores are still a primary means of seeing what regional climates were doing, even though they suffer from poorer resolution than ice cores (worms churn the sediment, obscuring records of all but the longest-lasting temperature changes).
By 250, 000 years ago Homo erectushad died out, after a run of almost two million years. Three scenarios for the next climatic phase might be called population crash, cheap fix, and muddling through. Fjords are long, narrow canyons, little arms of the sea reaching many miles inland; they were carved by great glaciers when the sea level was lower. This would be a worldwide problem—and could lead to a Third World War—but Europe's vulnerability is particularly easy to analyze. A meteor strike that killed most of the population in a month would not be as serious as an abrupt cooling that eventually killed just as many.
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